Sooners attempt to continue mastery of Aggies

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/27/2007 - College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sitting in a logjam atop the Big 12 standings, the sixth-ranked Texas A&M Aggies return home to the friendly confines of Reed Arena, as they play host to the Oklahoma Sooners in conference action this afternoon.

The Aggies had an extended nine-game win streak halted on Wednesday, as they dropped a two-point decision at Texas Tech (70-68). The loss was the first in-conference for A&M, which is tied with three other teams for first place in the Big 12 at 4-1.

Sitting right in the middle of the league standings is Oklahoma, which fell to 3-3 in Big 12 play with Monday's 66-61 loss at rival Oklahoma State. The Sooners have now dropped four of their last seven games and will need to get hot down the stretch to get consideration for the postseason.

Oklahoma has owned this series, winning 25 of the previous 26 meetings, including a 10-1 mark in College Station.

The Sooners certainly had their opportunities in Stillwater earlier in the week, but could not get over the hump against the Cowboys. Senior forward Nate Carter continued his torrid pace since the beginning of Big 12 play, erupting for a double-double of 23 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. Michael Neal was the only other Sooner to join Carter in double figures, posting 13 points in the five-point setback. Carter is fourth on the team in scoring at 9.1 ppg, but has more than doubled that average in league affairs (18.3 ppg). Longar Longar currently leads the team in both scoring (11.3 ppg) and rebounding (7.1 rpg). Neal is a close second at 10.7 ppg, while both Tony Crocker (9.9 ppg) and Carter are closing in on double digits. The team as a whole is netting 69.6 ppg and has done a much better job defensively, limiting the opposition to a mere 57.4 ppg, while holding them under 40 percent shooting (.380).

The Aggies know a thing or two about defensive intensity as well. The team is yielding a meager 54.2 ppg, holding foes to just .352 shooting, including .272 from behind the arc. Offensively, the team has gotten the job done as well, shooting .512 from the floor, resulting in a healthy 76.2 ppg. Acie Law leads four players with double-digit averages, netting 16.5 ppg, while doubling as the team's primary distributor (91). Joseph Jones (13.6 ppg, 6.7 rpg) and Antanas Kavaliauskas (11.8 ppg, 5.6 rpg) complement with their inside games, while Josh Carter (11.7 ppg) is the team's top long range threat (.490 from three-point range, 47-of-96). It was a nip-and-tuck game all the way in Lubbock this week, but in the end, Texas A&M's nine-game win streak came to a close. Law did what he could to earn the victory, erupting for 26 points, on 9-of-15 shots from the floor. Dominique Kirk posted 12 points and Jones chipped in with 11, but Carter was held scoreless in the game in 30 minutes of action. Despite shooting .532 from the floor, A&M was outscored 22-13 at the free-throw line and committed 15 costly turnovers in the narrow defeat.

Gambleinvegas NCAA Basketball Betting News

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.